Is it worth selling US dollars now? Analysis of the situation for 2025
Talk about the collapse of the most popular world currency of the American dollar has been going on for more than a year, there are quite a lot of reasons for such a scenario.
As of May 2025, the issue of selling US dollars is becoming more and more relevant against the background of instability of foreign exchange markets and an indefinite economic situation in the world.
Investors from around the world closely monitor the dynamics of the American currency, trying to predict further movements and make the most favorable financial decisions.
The question is whether it is worth selling dollars now, worries not only large financiers, but also people who store savings in this currency. After all, about 40% of citizens are still preferred by the American dollar.
The current situation with the US dollar
Since the beginning of 2025, the US dollar has demonstrated a noticeable weakness in relation to the main world currencies. The US dollar index (DXY), the main exchange rate of the currency for the basket of other world currencies, has decreased by about 9%.
Analysts associate this decrease with uncertainty in the US fiscal policy, trade stresses and possible changes in the monetary policy of the federal reserve system.
And the general fall to the US dollar is a significant factor that negatively affects the exchange rate of the American currency.
Global economic factors affecting the dollar
At the moment, there are several key factors that affect the US dollar:
The policy of the federal reserve: the uncertainty regarding further actions of the Fed (reduction or increase in interest rates) causes uncertainty investors. If the Fed takes a milder position, this can lead to a further weakening of the dollar.
Trade relations and tariffs: an increase in tension in trade relations, especially with large economies, such as China and the EU, enhances volatility in foreign exchange markets and creates pressure on the dollar.
Global inflationary trends: stably high inflation rates make investors be more careful and move capital from dollars into more stable assets, such as gold or other currencies with greater profitability.
Forecasts and opinions of analysts on the issue of selling whether dollars now
The opinions of experts regarding the future dollar vary, but almost all of them declare that the dollar will gradually get cheaper:
| Analyst / Company | Forecast for 2025 | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | -5–7% | Risks of budget deficit, uncertainty in trade |
| Morgan Stanley | Stabilization | The risks of geopolitics and changes in monetary policy are possible |
| UBS | Further decline | In the case of softening the monetary policy of the Fed |
- Goldman Sachs : predicts the gradual weakening of the dollar by 5-7% by the end of 2025, noting the risks of stable budget deficits and uncertainty in trade relations.
- Morgan Stanley : involves the short -term stabilization of the dollar, but warns of possible risks associated with geopolitical instability and changes in monetary policy.
- UBS : He believes that the dollar can continue to decrease if the federal reserve confirms the transition to a softer monetary policy.
In the conditions of the current economic uncertainty and volatility of foreign exchange rate, the sale of US dollars may not be a completely successful idea. As a result of such a transaction, you will rather lose price and buy expensive other currency.
I would not hurry with the exchange, waited for a truce at the front of trade wars, because negotiations are being actively held now.
In my opinion, it is advisable to sell American dollars, but you need to do this not at a minimum of the course, but when the cost of the dollar will recover a little.