Black swans of 2017.

The term "Black Swan" is familiar to almost every stock market player; it describes an unexpected event that significantly impacts the economy or finances.

Black Swans are the events that cause the largest movements in exchange rates on the currency exchange or the largest changes in stock prices.

What surprises might 2017 bring, according to experts at one of the largest holding companies?

1. US economic growth – the US economy is currently at a relatively low level, meaning a change in president and government policies could lead to an acceleration of economic growth.

Many analysts have expressed a similar view, so the release of US economic data should be viewed with caution.

2. EU reform – this is increasingly being discussed among the leaders of the Commonwealth countries; an announcement of reform could bring the UK back into the EU; imagine what would happen to the euro exchange rate then.

3. The fall of the Japanese yen – this currency has been slowly depreciating lately; another earthquake or decline in exports could depress the yen by hundreds of points.

4. A sharp rise in oil prices – some influential figures who may come to power in the US are quite interested in high oil prices.

The Russian government also dreams of this; using their influence, these two superpowers will be able to regulate the price of black gold at their own discretion.

5. The lifting of sanctions against Russia is a very real prospect, which will lead to a rise in the Russian ruble and an unprecedented increase in the RTS index.

In fact, it is already possible to speculate on a long-term increase in the latter.

The main rule when the news is against your trade is to avoid hoping for a return to normal. You simply may not have enough money to weather the storm. It was precisely hope and anticipation that led to the greatest financial collapses in world history.