Solana: Price Forecast - How Much Can SOL Go Up?
Predicting price peaks is just as important as understanding its "fair value." It's at these local highs that you can lock in profits.
For a volatile asset like Solana ($SOL), having a pre-planned sale plan can help keep emotions at bay.
You determine in advance the levels where the risk/reward ratio is optimal and prepare to sell at the best price.
What do we know about Solana now?
Solana's current all-time high (ATH) is approximately $294-$295, which was reached in January 2025. This is our primary target for the current cycle.
There are approximately 542 million SOL in circulation, and we will use this number for our market cap-based price calculations. Solana's current market cap fluctuates between $110–120 billion, with daily turnover exceeding $10 billion.
Network activity is growing: Solana is among the leaders in terms of active addresses and total value locked (TVL). The key technological catalyst for 2025–2026 is Firedancer, a second validator client that will make the network more reliable and performant. Its launch in 2025 will increase trust in the network, including among major investors.
Three Possible Scenarios for Sol's Growth
We will forecast the price based on the possible market capitalization using a simple formula: Price = Market Capitalization / Number of SOLs in circulation.
- Baseline Scenario: Renewal of the Maximum
If current network activity continues and Firedancer is gradually implemented without any "supercatalysts," the market cap could reach $160-180 billion. In this case, the price per SOL would be $295-330. This level has already been confirmed in the current cycle, so it is entirely achievable.
- Moderately Bullish Scenario: Influx of Large Investors
If the network grows steadily and large players join the Solana ecosystem (for example, through investment funds or payment systems), the market capitalization could increase to $200–260 billion. This would push the price to $370–480. The triggers for this would be tangible results from Firedancer and public announcements of partnerships from major companies.
- Aggressive Scenario: The Perfect Storm
This scenario requires a combination of a strong bull market, a sharp increase in demand (for example, due to gaming or DeFi), and ideal technological stability. Positive news about the creation of ETF or other important regulatory changes are also possible. Under these conditions, the market cap could reach $300-350 billion, and the price could reach $550-650. However, this is the least likely scenario, requiring ideal conditions.
Solan's General Forecast and Practical Advice
In 2025, the most likely price range is $300–$400. This forecast will come true if the network can handle the growing load and Firedancer is successfully implemented. Reaching a new all-time high seems entirely achievable.
In 2026, if interest from large investors continues, a ceiling of $400–500 looks realistic, and $550+ would only be possible with a very strong bull market and additional positive news.
To put this information into practice, break the sale into several stages rather than trying to sell everything at the very peak.
For example, you could sell in increments at $330, $360, $390, and $420. Keep a small portion of your holdings in case the market reaches extreme levels, such as $450+. Remember to monitor not only the price but also the market cap, TVL, and the number of active addresses, as these metrics can indicate the sustainability of the growth.
